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February 20, 2001 Stock Talk

'Markets are nervous'

Ramesh S Damani expects the markets to remain nervous till the Budget.

Ramesh S. Damani : Hello everyone thanks for joining. Let's start


sandeep : should peerless shipping be bought at these prices or should i just hold my stock
Ramesh S. Damani : It looks okay at current prices

MuneerKallatra : I have 1000 Sterlite Optic with me at the price of Rs 910, I am holding almost 2 months, now my question is, is there any kind of improvement I can expect or should I sell this share now? Please advice me in a proper manner
Ramesh S. Damani : It is a speculative favourite. If it moves up after the budget good otherwise I would tend to lessen my exposure

akshay : sir i have bought zee tele at 245, reliance capital at 116, penta at 245 and silverline at 260. should i book losses or hold my stocks ?
Ramesh S. Damani : Book losses in Silverline, and keep zee for any rally pre/post budget. Penta and Rel Cap are so-so

akshay : hello sir as i have taken all these shares in forward please help me .
Ramesh S. Damani : Do not leverage. It is very dangerous. You can wipe out your equity. It is only for professionals

globalfriend : Ramesh can I book profits in Reliance Inds now
Ramesh S. Damani : Wait till the budget. It has been very strong

brinda : is there a story in software stocks? they keep falling.
Ramesh S. Damani : They kept rising a year ago. Good co's will rebound.

akshay : i have taken larsen at 250 should i book my profits ?
Ramesh S. Damani : Around 325 levels. Pls ask me general questions. I don't follow all stocks. We have 6000 of them!

rahulg : bank of rajasthan--is it a buy?
Ramesh S. Damani : No reason. Take a look at Karur Vysya Bank

akshay : what according 2 you are good picks from these levels
Ramesh S. Damani : I have been recommending and holding Citicorp and Shipping Corp

globalfriend : What abt Satyam Infosys
Ramesh S. Damani : SIFY of Satyam looks weak. It is dragging down Satyam. INFY is also looking weak. They need to do an acquisition

rahulg : eps of 11 fy 2001--bank of raj
Ramesh S. Damani : Quality of Mgmt issues

brinda : what are the best cyclical sectors to buy before budget?
Ramesh S. Damani : Power looks the best. It's do or die time

rahulg : INDIAN RAYON stake of 1% taken by ....- any future
Ramesh S. Damani : Abhishek is a smart op. I would watch what he does

akshay : sri adhikari bro is being dragging badly should i take it at these levels ?
Ramesh S. Damani : It had gone up unnecessarily

rahulg : TISCO --STOP LOSS-TO INCREASE -- STEEL PRICE
Ramesh S. Damani : Steel prices are down globally. I am not sure about the case for TISCO other than a speculative punt

rahulg : SESA GOA--STOP LOSS-ANY TARGET
Ramesh S. Damani : None.

akshay : so should i sell silver at these levels
Ramesh S. Damani : I am not bullish about it at current levels (Silverline)

rahulg : CHENNAI PETRO-IS IT A BUY??-Q3 N.P.UP 600%
Ramesh S. Damani : Don't follow refinery stocks

shirish : how is global telesystems and dsq software
Ramesh S. Damani : Momentum stocks are out of favour

anjali : how is the hotel industry
Ramesh S. Damani : Looks okay. Indian Hotels looks safe.

bala : what is the outlook for the market before budget
Ramesh S. Damani : Very nervous

shirish : how is vsnl and mtnl
Ramesh S. Damani : I like VSNL at current levels

rahulg : IDBI--TO MAINTAIN 45%--BUY??
Ramesh S. Damani : Details please ?

Kiran : I heard DishnetDSL is going to be listed.. what is your opinion about that
Ramesh S. Damani : Let's see the prospectus

anand : hello mr.damani,when do u see the market picking up good momentum??
Ramesh S. Damani : if PSU's start getting privatised

suhas : Do you think its good to sell all stocks before budget and repurchase them after ?
Ramesh S. Damani : I like to think of myself as a long term investor

bala : what is the index level pre and post budget
Ramesh S. Damani : I am not an astrologer

anand : hello mr.damani,how would you value infotech stocks at these levels.
Ramesh S. Damani : You need to take it case by case

rahulg : TO MAINTAIN 45%DIV--IDBI
Ramesh S. Damani : Thanks. Trouble is ex-dividend they dont get any capital app. ICICI is doing a much better job

ajith : should i invest in GACL right now?
Ramesh S. Damani : Looks okay to me

shirish : how is shipping corporation and balrampur chini at current levels
Ramesh S. Damani : I like Shipping

Srinivasan : What is your latest take on the VST issue. You think it will go through with the present government policy?
Ramesh S. Damani : Just to clarify. The R. S. Damani making the offer is NOT ME don't think they will get more than 3-5% extra shares

rahulg : CUMMINS--OUTLOOK--STOP LOSS-78??
Ramesh S. Damani : Outlook is good. Don't know about Stop Loss

Kush : What would be the trend of the Market in coming days
Ramesh S. Damani : Nervous leading into the budget.

nish : the fii's pumped in so much cash what if due to unfavorable budget they pull, will market go in free fall
Ramesh S. Damani : Govts must listen to capital markets

bhatt : infosys is at35PE2002 shd anyone venture into stocks like CMC?
Ramesh S. Damani : Take over value of CMC could be much higher. Also look at the Market caps. 40,000 crs and 600 crs

rahulg : WESTERN HATCH-FY 2001 EPS EXP 10 BOOK VALUE 104--NOW AT 70??-U R VIEW
Ramesh S. Damani : Small cap share with promise

Srinivasan : Hello Mr. Damani. I want your opinion on the VST issue.
Ramesh S. Damani : see earlier answer

Srinivasan : I know it is not you but I wanted your opinion on the issue. Are they looking for a profit as in the Gesco issue
Ramesh S. Damani : No. They are long term investors wanting good dividends and focus on tobacco

chabria : Damani babu kem choo! ...
Ramesh S. Damani : Good

CASTELLO : Hello damani, I am repeating my question? What is the outlook of pharma sector?Sun pharma, ranbaxy,pfizer etc hold or buy or sell?
Ramesh S. Damani : I tend not to follow the pharma. I like stocks like Cipla and Abbott.

shah : i have got stuck with CMC at Rs 450 after divestment news on your recommendation what should i do
Ramesh S. Damani : Wait till the disinvestment

Srinivasan : But VST is the only tobacco company in the world to make losses. How would they - as a good prudent investor - look at this track record. What does VST have to offer to them. The stock is also not moving up
Ramesh S. Damani : They have diversified into a lot of unrelated areas. Mgmt Lethargies. Focus would do it good

rahulg : BEL -- UR PET STOCK, WHEN SHOULD I ENTER
Ramesh S. Damani : Good compnay at current levels

rupak : I have 100 shares of Hughes Software purchased at Rs 988 per share recently. On the advice of a broker who was on CNBC program Your Stock. What should I do regarding this Share?
Ramesh S. Damani : I like the share at curren values

anand : hello,what do you think about the fertilizer stocks.(tata power)
Ramesh S. Damani : I like Power shares

bhatt : market cap shd be seen with relation to profits?
Ramesh S. Damani : Of course. But with pvt mgmt profits could rise. A 10% margin would give them a EPS or Rs 35.0

amitsampat : hello mr damani what are your views on hfcl and global i have purchased those at a very high rate should i hold or switch
Ramesh S. Damani : I am not bullish on these two stocks

veeru : How do you see the Indian IT stocks within 3 months from now.
Ramesh S. Damani : Tough call. Tech seems weak yet.

shailendra : what do you think about the banking sector.
Ramesh S. Damani : HDFC Bank is a juggernaut in the making

CASTELLO : Dear damani,If you were given two preferential votes whom will you choose to invest in order of priority infy, wipro, satyam, hughes,reliance, pharma sector.
Ramesh S. Damani : if i had to, infy and wipro in your basket would be me choice. Your basket is limited though

NANDAKUMAR : MR. Damani ...If an amount of around 10 lacs was to be invested..how would you allocate the portfolio.. for a 1 year horizon
Ramesh S. Damani : Tech 40% Power 20% FMCG 20% Misc 20%

bhatt : most of CMC's sales is hardware related so do you think a 10% rise is possible? or do you expect the margins to reach industry leaders' levels?
Ramesh S. Damani : Education, Software, Servics are a large portion. They don't know marketing. They would do wonders in private hands

andy : dear ramesh, i stay out of india, in hong kong, please tell me how's the situation to invest in indian stocks
Ramesh S. Damani : Emerging markets are volatile. But India and China will be drivers for growth. You should balance some money in India I would say. Look at IT, IT-enabled and Power sectors

amitsampat : sir what are your views on infosys as the company is wasting its money in unproductive things rather than going for any aquisition
Ramesh S. Damani : They need to do an acquisiton soon.

chabria : Did you hear .... dalmia is being kicked out of his soft company ...
Ramesh S. Damani : No. What details do you have

shibu : dear ramesh i stay in london but i would like to invest in the indian stock market are there any online sites in india which will allow me to do trading
Ramesh S. Damani : check out 5paisa.com, icicidirect.com.I am not sure of the legality of it though

atulmathur : What is your outlook for Rolta... the company has not even posted its results yet....
Ramesh S. Damani : Not enthusiastic

indiabullsguy : r u having a cup of tea mr damani?
Ramesh S. Damani : No. Just typing

psharma : is atlas cycle a good buy at 54
Ramesh S. Damani : Yes it is a good stock

chabria : do you play commodity markets by any chance ? .... there are some opportunities there .
Ramesh S. Damani : No I don't. Might be fun.

NANDAKUMAR : Moser Baer looks to be a good story..barring competition from taiwan ..whahs yr view on the stock
Ramesh S. Damani : I think your analysis is dead on

amitsampat : sir you were the first one who was bullish on s'ware now what other sectors do u feel are good for inv in the long term
Ramesh S. Damani : IT-enabled and PSU stocks. Some power

k : is there any scope in current markets in stocks like cadbury nestle basically fmcg stocks
Ramesh S. Damani : Sure. They will do well

Mundhir : Does the Gujarat quake makethe share market vulnerable? If so what would be the effects?
Ramesh S. Damani : Not lasting

r-har : Mr Damani what are your top five picks before and after the budget
Ramesh S. Damani : let's wait for the budget. See my allocation model in earlier Q. It won't be affected too much by the budget

vijaydargar : It seem that you have little knowledge and answering few people only. are they your friend. or you do not know any answers if it is like that than better come to me I will anwer all them better
Ramesh S. Damani : Write to rediff.

manu : what's ur view on pfizer after the company says it might look in the 100 per cent sub
Ramesh S. Damani : Risk factor for all MNC's

tejas : will Zee come upto 600 in near future???
Ramesh S. Damani : Unlikely

vijaydargar : Damani ji you do not know anything I am surprised that how rediff people hired you.
Ramesh S. Damani : Wisdom comes in small doses. Ignorance is super confident

kalara : dear ramesh my question regarding sql star international a hyderabad-based software company not answered ??
Ramesh S. Damani : It's a small cap co that I am not following

bhavesh : hi Mr. Damani, your recommendation for rel perto
Ramesh S. Damani : Book profits

anu456@rediffmail.com : Mr damani tell me about the shares of ONGC.
Ramesh S. Damani : Too big and complicated to be disinvested

vamsi : damani u have not answered my question what is ur comments on holding hdfc bank and icici bank
Ramesh S. Damani : I think both will be good. I like HDFC Bank the best

KR : I have been watching the market for a while. The American IT gaints show a down curve. How immune is Indian IT? Can a loss of percentage in PC Sales growth rate give such effect? or is there someting lurking behind ?
Ramesh S. Damani : We are not immune. A slowdown would be serious.

rahulg : CRISIL--ANY VIEWS??
Ramesh S. Damani : Stock is underperforming. At current price though it is a good bet

k : if i had 10000 to invest where would u advise me to put my money
Ramesh S. Damani : See my earlier answers

vijayalva : Mr Damani is it the right time to invest in share
Ramesh S. Damani : if you have 2-3 years time yes!

ashokb : SATYAM COMPUTERS >>>>>>> ANY VIEWS
Ramesh S. Damani : Not very bullish

CASTELLO : Dear Damani,What makes infy your first pref over Wipro? what are the 3 major factors in your decision making? is it a loaded question?
Ramesh S. Damani : Mgmt quality and Current Market cap. Wipro has a higher PE than INFY

KG : SIR, ANY VIEWS ON HINDUJA FINANCE - TO BE CALLED HINDUJA TMT LIMITED
Ramesh S. Damani : At current levels a decent bet. Co has some attractive assets

mahadevsam : Mr.Damani, is it worth buying VSNL at current levels
Ramesh S. Damani : looks okay to me at current levels

rameshjain : Hi.damaniji,what is the budget favourites
Ramesh S. Damani : I would like to possibly make a bet on power.

rahulg : PNB GILTS--ANY VIEWS???
Ramesh S. Damani : should rally to 30

manu : as u said 100 per cent sub are a risk for all mncs why do they get higher discounting?
Ramesh S. Damani : investor fancy and past returns

subrata : yeah satyam? Is it a good short at curr. lvls
Ramesh S. Damani : I avoid shorting. It's for professionals who do it every day/Day trade

KR : Is the AMERICAN SLOW DOWN something more ? Can a loss of percentage in PC Sales growth rate give such effect ? or is there something lurking behind ?Name some companies thatll be affected here. THANX FOR PREVIOUS ANSWER. I beleive ur words !
Ramesh S. Damani : The smaller ones will be butchered. It's not PC sales but general IT spending

aryan : what is your view on your old tasty bite
Ramesh S. Damani : look okay to me

Jitendra : Hello Mr. Damani, In spite of the slowdown, wipro infy et. al. are on recruitment spree ? What does this mean ..?
Ramesh S. Damani : Good question. Sometimes they make mistakes of optimism. I hope that is not the case

sathish : what is the implication of nasdaq office in bangalore on technology stocks
Ramesh S. Damani : Is bullish for stocks, bad for exchanges

Hitesh : hello sir can u please tell me about HLL (bought at180) and APTECH (bought at 340)
Ramesh S. Damani : HLL is a conservative bet. Avoid APtech

Balaji : Hi Ramesh,Why does a NASDAQ crash affects NSE rather than other Exchange
Ramesh S. Damani : it affects BSE, Honk Kong, Korea equally

kamaraju : Mr. Damani what is your opinion buying shipping corpn of India at present rate.
Ramesh S. Damani : Decent bet

KR : THANX for both the replies.What IT Stock are worth most in coming 2 years for sincere investment not for daily traders. Since IT is facing downwards in NASDAQ etc. What are ur recommendations for a long term investor (Nowadays 2 years is Long term...:-))
Ramesh S. Damani : I like Citicorp to be renamed eservein the IT Enabled Sector. I am long it currently

sathish : is mergers a good sign for technology stocks
Ramesh S. Damani : Sure. If value is unlocked

veeru : Seeing the Employee layoffs in US IT industry, will the Foreign Investors show interest in the Indian IT market.
Ramesh S. Damani : IT is here to stay. I have no worry about that.

manu : what about india shaving and birla 3M
Ramesh S. Damani : Birla 3M Looks good.THANK YOU ALL FOR JOINING. SEE YOU NEXT WEEK. GOOD LUCK

Join the Ramesh S Damani chat every Tuesday at 1600 IST.

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